 Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.1 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:48
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 次から実際のデータです。
その前に、今回の計算には C の double 型を使いました。
誤差計算はやっていませんが、じわじわ誤差が増幅しているはずなので、
100,200,300となるにつれて誤差が増えています。
ご注意ください。
なお、+0の状態から始めています。ゆえに1個目のところは
+1が100%になっているわけです。
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.2 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:32
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 0,100.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
1,0.0,100.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
2,0.0,50.0,50.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
3,0.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
4,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
5,0.0,6.2,25.0,43.8,18.8,6.2,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
6,0.0,3.1,15.6,43.8,25.0,9.4,3.1,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
7,0.0,1.6,9.4,42.2,26.6,14.1,4.7,1.6,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
8,0.0,0.8,5.5,39.1,28.1,15.6,7.8,2.3,0.8,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
9,0.0,0.4,3.1,36.3,27.3,18.0,9.0,4.3,1.2,0.4,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
10,0.0,0.2,1.8,33.4,27.1,18.2,11.1,5.1,2.3,0.6,0.2,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
11,0.0,0.1,1.0,31.2,25.8,19.1,11.6,6.7,2.8,1.3,0.3,0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
12,0.0,0.0,0.5,29.0,25.1,18.7,12.9,7.2,4.0,1.6,0.7,0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
13,0.0,0.0,0.3,27.3,23.8,19.0,13.0,8.5,4.4,2.3,0.9,0.4,0.1,0.0,0.0,0.0
14,0.0,0.0,0.2,25.7,23.2,18.4,13.8,8.7,5.4,2.6,1.4,0.5,0.2,0.0,0.0,0.0
15,0.0,0.0,0.1,24.5,22.1,18.5,13.5,9.6,5.7,3.4,1.5,0.8,0.3,0.1,0.0,0.0
16,0.0,0.0,0.0,23.3,21.5,17.8,14.0,9.6,6.5,3.6,2.1,0.9,0.4,0.1,0.1,0.0
17,0.0,0.0,0.0,22.4,20.6,17.8,13.7,10.3,6.6,4.3,2.2,1.3,0.5,0.2,0.1,0.0
18,0.0,0.0,0.0,21.5,20.1,17.1,14.0,10.1,7.3,4.4,2.8,1.4,0.8,0.3,0.1,0.1
19,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.8,19.3,17.1,13.6,10.6,7.3,5.0,2.9,1.8,0.8,0.4,0.1,0.1
20,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.1,18.9,16.5,13.8,10.5,7.8,5.1,3.4,1.9,1.1,0.5,0.2,0.2
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.3 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:34
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 21,0.0,0.0,0.0,19.5,18.3,16.4,13.5,10.8,7.8,5.6,3.5,2.2,1.2,0.7,0.2,0.3
22,0.0,0.0,0.0,18.9,17.9,15.9,13.6,10.6,8.2,5.6,3.9,2.3,1.5,0.7,0.3,0.4
23,0.0,0.0,0.0,18.4,17.4,15.8,13.2,10.9,8.1,6.1,4.0,2.7,1.5,0.9,0.4,0.6
24,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.9,17.1,15.3,13.3,10.7,8.5,6.1,4.4,2.8,1.8,0.9,0.4,0.8
25,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.5,16.6,15.2,13.0,10.9,8.4,6.4,4.4,3.1,1.8,1.1,0.5,1.0
26,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.1,16.4,14.8,13.1,10.7,8.7,6.4,4.8,3.1,2.1,1.2,0.6,1.2
27,0.0,0.0,0.0,16.7,15.9,14.7,12.7,10.9,8.5,6.7,4.8,3.4,2.1,1.3,0.6,1.5
28,0.0,0.0,0.0,16.3,15.7,14.3,12.8,10.6,8.8,6.6,5.1,3.4,2.4,1.4,0.7,1.8
29,0.0,0.0,0.0,16.0,15.3,14.3,12.5,10.8,8.6,6.9,5.0,3.7,2.4,1.5,0.7,2.1
30,0.0,0.0,0.0,15.7,15.1,13.9,12.5,10.6,8.9,6.8,5.3,3.7,2.6,1.5,0.8,2.5
31,0.0,0.0,0.0,15.4,14.8,13.8,12.2,10.7,8.7,7.1,5.3,4.0,2.6,1.7,0.8,2.9
32,0.0,0.0,0.0,15.1,14.6,13.5,12.3,10.5,8.9,7.0,5.5,4.0,2.8,1.7,0.8,3.2
33,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.9,14.3,13.4,12.0,10.6,8.7,7.2,5.5,4.2,2.8,1.8,0.9,3.7
34,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.6,14.2,13.2,12.0,10.4,8.9,7.1,5.7,4.2,3.0,1.8,0.9,4.1
35,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.4,13.9,13.1,11.8,10.5,8.7,7.3,5.6,4.4,3.0,2.0,0.9,4.6
36,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.1,13.7,12.8,11.8,10.2,8.9,7.2,5.8,4.3,3.2,2.0,1.0,5.0
37,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.9,13.5,12.7,11.5,10.3,8.7,7.4,5.7,4.5,3.1,2.1,1.0,5.5
38,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.7,13.3,12.5,11.5,10.1,8.8,7.2,5.9,4.4,3.3,2.1,1.0,6.0
39,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.5,13.1,12.4,11.3,10.2,8.7,7.4,5.8,4.6,3.3,2.2,1.0,6.5
40,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.3,13.0,12.2,11.3,10.0,8.8,7.3,6.0,4.5,3.4,2.1,1.1,7.0
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.4 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:37
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 41,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.1,12.8,12.1,11.1,10.0,8.6,7.4,5.9,4.7,3.3,2.2,1.1,7.6
42,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.9,12.6,11.9,11.1,9.9,8.7,7.3,6.0,4.6,3.5,2.2,1.1,8.1
43,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.8,12.4,11.9,10.9,9.9,8.6,7.4,5.9,4.8,3.4,2.3,1.1,8.7
44,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.6,12.3,11.7,10.9,9.7,8.6,7.3,6.1,4.7,3.5,2.3,1.1,9.2
45,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.1,11.6,10.7,9.8,8.5,7.4,6.0,4.8,3.5,2.3,1.1,9.8
46,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.3,12.0,11.4,10.7,9.6,8.6,7.2,6.1,4.7,3.6,2.3,1.2,10.4
47,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.2,11.9,11.4,10.5,9.6,8.4,7.3,6.0,4.8,3.5,2.4,1.1,10.9
48,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.0,11.8,11.2,10.5,9.5,8.5,7.2,6.1,4.7,3.6,2.3,1.2,11.5
49,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.9,11.6,11.1,10.3,9.5,8.3,7.3,6.0,4.8,3.5,2.4,1.2,12.1
50,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.7,11.5,11.0,10.3,9.3,8.4,7.1,6.0,4.7,3.6,2.3,1.2,12.7
51,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.6,11.4,10.9,10.1,9.3,8.2,7.2,5.9,4.8,3.5,2.4,1.2,13.3
52,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.5,11.3,10.7,10.1,9.2,8.3,7.1,6.0,4.7,3.6,2.4,1.2,13.9
53,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.4,11.1,10.7,10.0,9.2,8.1,7.1,5.9,4.8,3.6,2.4,1.2,14.5
54,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.2,11.0,10.5,9.9,9.1,8.2,7.0,6.0,4.7,3.6,2.4,1.2,15.1
55,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.1,10.9,10.5,9.8,9.1,8.0,7.1,5.9,4.8,3.6,2.4,1.2,15.7
56,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.0,10.8,10.3,9.8,8.9,8.1,7.0,5.9,4.7,3.6,2.4,1.2,16.3
57,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.9,10.7,10.3,9.6,8.9,7.9,7.0,5.8,4.8,3.5,2.4,1.2,16.9
58,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.8,10.6,10.2,9.6,8.8,8.0,6.9,5.9,4.7,3.6,2.4,1.2,17.4
59,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.7,10.5,10.1,9.5,8.8,7.8,6.9,5.8,4.7,3.5,2.4,1.2,18.0
60,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.6,10.4,10.0,9.4,8.7,7.9,6.8,5.8,4.7,3.6,2.4,1.2,18.6
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.5 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:39
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 61,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.5,10.3,9.9,9.3,8.7,7.7,6.8,5.7,4.7,3.5,2.4,1.2,19.2
62,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.4,10.2,9.8,9.3,8.5,7.7,6.7,5.8,4.6,3.5,2.3,1.2,19.8
63,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.3,10.1,9.8,9.2,8.5,7.6,6.8,5.7,4.7,3.5,2.4,1.2,20.4
64,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.2,10.0,9.6,9.1,8.4,7.6,6.7,5.7,4.6,3.5,2.3,1.2,21.0
65,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.1,9.9,9.6,9.0,8.4,7.5,6.7,5.6,4.6,3.5,2.3,1.2,21.6
66,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.0,9.8,9.5,9.0,8.3,7.5,6.6,5.6,4.5,3.5,2.3,1.2,22.2
67,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.9,9.7,9.4,8.9,8.3,7.4,6.6,5.6,4.6,3.4,2.3,1.2,22.8
68,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.8,9.7,9.3,8.8,8.1,7.4,6.5,5.6,4.5,3.4,2.3,1.2,23.3
69,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.8,9.6,9.3,8.7,8.1,7.3,6.5,5.5,4.5,3.4,2.3,1.1,23.9
70,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.7,9.5,9.1,8.7,8.0,7.3,6.4,5.5,4.4,3.4,2.3,1.2,24.5
71,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.6,9.4,9.1,8.6,8.0,7.2,6.4,5.4,4.5,3.4,2.3,1.1,25.1
72,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.5,9.3,9.0,8.6,7.9,7.2,6.3,5.4,4.4,3.4,2.2,1.1,25.6
73,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.4,9.2,8.9,8.4,7.9,7.1,6.3,5.4,4.4,3.3,2.3,1.1,26.2
74,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.3,9.2,8.8,8.4,7.8,7.1,6.2,5.4,4.3,3.3,2.2,1.1,26.8
75,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.3,9.1,8.8,8.3,7.8,7.0,6.2,5.3,4.3,3.3,2.2,1.1,27.3
76,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.2,9.0,8.7,8.3,7.7,7.0,6.1,5.3,4.3,3.3,2.2,1.1,27.9
77,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.1,8.9,8.7,8.2,7.6,6.9,6.1,5.2,4.3,3.2,2.2,1.1,28.4
78,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.0,8.9,8.6,8.1,7.5,6.9,6.1,5.2,4.2,3.2,2.2,1.1,29.0
79,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.9,8.8,8.5,8.0,7.5,6.8,6.0,5.1,4.2,3.2,2.2,1.1,29.5
80,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.9,8.7,8.4,8.0,7.4,6.8,6.0,5.1,4.2,3.2,2.1,1.1,30.1
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.6 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:41
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 81,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.8,8.6,8.4,7.9,7.4,6.7,6.0,5.1,4.2,3.2,2.1,1.1,30.6
82,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.7,8.6,8.3,7.9,7.3,6.7,5.9,5.1,4.1,3.2,2.1,1.1,31.2
83,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.7,8.5,8.2,7.8,7.3,6.6,5.9,5.0,4.1,3.1,2.1,1.1,31.7
84,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.6,8.4,8.1,7.8,7.2,6.6,5.8,5.0,4.1,3.1,2.1,1.1,32.2
85,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.5,8.4,8.1,7.7,7.2,6.5,5.8,4.9,4.1,3.1,2.1,1.0,32.8
86,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.4,8.3,8.0,7.6,7.1,6.5,5.7,4.9,4.0,3.1,2.1,1.0,33.3
87,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.4,8.2,8.0,7.5,7.1,6.4,5.7,4.9,4.0,3.0,2.1,1.0,33.8
88,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.3,8.2,7.9,7.5,7.0,6.4,5.6,4.8,3.9,3.0,2.0,1.0,34.3
89,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.2,8.1,7.8,7.4,6.9,6.3,5.6,4.8,3.9,3.0,2.0,1.0,34.8
90,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.2,8.0,7.8,7.4,6.9,6.3,5.5,4.8,3.9,3.0,2.0,1.0,35.3
91,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.1,8.0,7.7,7.3,6.8,6.2,5.5,4.7,3.9,2.9,2.0,1.0,35.8
92,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.0,7.9,7.6,7.3,6.8,6.2,5.5,4.7,3.8,2.9,2.0,1.0,36.3
93,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.0,7.8,7.6,7.2,6.7,6.1,5.4,4.6,3.8,2.9,2.0,1.0,36.8
94,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.9,7.8,7.5,7.2,6.7,6.1,5.4,4.6,3.8,2.9,1.9,1.0,37.3
95,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.8,7.7,7.5,7.1,6.6,6.0,5.4,4.6,3.8,2.9,1.9,1.0,37.8
96,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.8,7.7,7.4,7.0,6.5,6.0,5.3,4.6,3.7,2.8,1.9,1.0,38.3
97,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.7,7.6,7.3,7.0,6.5,5.9,5.3,4.5,3.7,2.8,1.9,1.0,38.8
98,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.6,7.5,7.3,6.9,6.4,5.9,5.2,4.5,3.7,2.8,1.9,1.0,39.3
99,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.6,7.5,7.2,6.9,6.4,5.8,5.2,4.4,3.6,2.8,1.9,0.9,39.7
100,0.0,0.0,0.0,7.5,7.4,7.2,6.8,6.3,5.8,5.1,4.4,3.6,2.8,1.9,0.9,40.2
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.7 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:44
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 110,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.9,6.8,6.6,6.3,5.9,5.4,4.7,4.1,3.3,2.6,1.7,0.9,44.7
120,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.4,6.3,6.1,5.8,5.4,5.0,4.4,3.8,3.1,2.4,1.6,0.8,48.9
130,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.9,5.8,5.6,5.4,5.0,4.6,4.1,3.5,2.9,2.2,1.5,0.7,52.8
140,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.5,5.4,5.2,5.0,4.6,4.2,3.8,3.2,2.6,2.0,1.4,0.7,56.4
150,0.0,0.0,0.0,5.1,5.0,4.8,4.6,4.3,3.9,3.5,3.0,2.4,1.9,1.3,0.6,59.7
160,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.7,4.6,4.5,4.2,4.0,3.6,3.2,2.8,2.3,1.7,1.2,0.6,62.8
170,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.3,4.2,4.1,3.9,3.7,3.3,3.0,2.5,2.1,1.6,1.1,0.5,65.6
180,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.0,3.9,3.8,3.6,3.4,3.1,2.7,2.3,1.9,1.5,1.0,0.5,68.2
190,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.7,3.6,3.5,3.3,3.1,2.8,2.5,2.2,1.8,1.4,0.9,0.5,70.7
200,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.4,3.4,3.2,3.1,2.9,2.6,2.3,2.0,1.6,1.3,0.8,0.4,72.9
210,0.0,0.0,0.0,3.1,3.1,3.0,2.9,2.7,2.4,2.2,1.9,1.5,1.2,0.8,0.4,75.0
220,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.9,2.9,2.8,2.6,2.5,2.2,2.0,1.7,1.4,1.1,0.7,0.4,76.9
230,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.7,2.6,2.6,2.4,2.3,2.1,1.8,1.6,1.3,1.0,0.7,0.3,78.6
240,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.5,2.4,2.4,2.2,2.1,1.9,1.7,1.5,1.2,0.9,0.6,0.3,80.2
250,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.3,2.3,2.2,2.1,1.9,1.8,1.6,1.3,1.1,0.8,0.6,0.3,81.8
260,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.1,2.1,2.0,1.9,1.8,1.6,1.5,1.2,1.0,0.8,0.5,0.3,83.1
270,0.0,0.0,0.0,2.0,1.9,1.9,1.8,1.7,1.5,1.3,1.2,0.9,0.7,0.5,0.2,84.4
280,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.8,1.8,1.7,1.6,1.5,1.4,1.2,1.1,0.9,0.7,0.5,0.2,85.6
290,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.7,1.6,1.6,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.1,1.0,0.8,0.6,0.4,0.2,86.7
300,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.5,1.5,1.5,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1,0.9,0.7,0.6,0.4,0.2,87.7
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.8 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:47
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- 310,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.4,1.4,1.4,1.3,1.2,1.1,1.0,0.8,0.7,0.5,0.4,0.2,88.7
320,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.3,1.3,1.3,1.2,1.1,1.0,0.9,0.8,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.2,89.5
330,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.2,1.2,1.2,1.1,1.0,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.4,0.3,0.2,90.3
340,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.1,1.1,1.1,1.0,1.0,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.5,0.4,0.3,0.1,91.1
350,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.3,0.1,91.7
360,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.2,0.1,92.4
370,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.3,0.2,0.1,92.9
380,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.3,0.2,0.1,93.5
390,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.2,0.1,94.0
400,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1,94.4
410,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,94.9
420,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,95.2
430,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,95.6
440,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,95.9
450,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,96.3
460,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,96.5
470,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,96.8
480,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.0,97.0
490,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.0,97.3
500,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.0,97.5
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.9 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/22 23:59
- 名前： 数学屋 ID:
- さて、100個より先は10個おきにしましたが大雑把に見てみると
46個 - 1割の人が +15 になっています。かなり運がいい部類ですね。
63個 - 2割の人は +15 を達成しています。
123個 - ここが中央点です。5割の人はここまでに +15 になっています。
161個 - これは +15 の期待値ですが、63%の人はすでに+15になっています。
200個 - 7割以上の人は +15 になっています。しかしこれはエメ級以下の +2 成功率
より低いということを忘れてはいけません。
300個 - 87.7%の人が +15 になっています。しかし 5%の人は +5 以下…
500個 - 97.5% の人は +15 になっています。しかし、1%の人は +5 以下みたいです…
数字で見てしまうと萎えるかもしれませんが、まあ所詮確率にすぎませんので
参考までに
P.S. シミュレーターやってみました。三回目の結果は 501個で +3 に戻って 525個で
+15になりました。とりあえずエメ級+5と防具+4を先にします…
|
| Re: ダイヤ強化の分布 ( No.10 ) |
- 日時： 2004/10/25 14:44
- 名前： うろたん ID:
- 非常に興味深い結果です。
本結果のグラフをいろいろと整理してみて、自分がダイヤ強化する際の
一つの方法･･･目安を考えました。
ずばり、『ダイヤを５０個用意して連続投入』する！
これです。
理由は至極単純です。
上の結果を見ると、４８個のダイヤ投入までは＋３が最も確率が高く、＋１４まで
単調減少となっています。
この予測は以前にも、どなたかが行っていたので割愛します。
そこで、４９個になるとどうでしょう。
＋３の確率と＋１５の確率が逆転します。
つまり、約５０個投入時点において、天国と地獄の境があると考えます。
自分の強化が『今日は調子ｲｲ！』と思ったら、この５０個を投入するという寸法です。
運がよければ、＋１５に傾くでしょう。
運が悪ければ＋３です。
＋１５or＋３の確率は24.4%
強化途中で落ち着く確率が残り75.6%
＋４に近いほうに落ち着く確率が高いですが、勝算に乏しい投入よりもｵｶﾙﾄ的＆理論的に
安心できる予感がします。
ま、ダイヤ５０個とか･･･集まらないわけですが･･･（＿ ＿；
|
| Re: ( No.11 ) |
- 日時： 2006/05/29 22:49
- 名前： Goose14 <onlinepharmacy49@hotmail.com> ID:
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|
| RE: ( No.12 ) |
- 日時： 2006/05/30 01:17
- 名前： Sid Vicious Jr <sumoonline334@yahoo.co.uk> ID:
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[607] ダイヤ強化の分布